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Weekend Box Office Overview 10-17

Published October 17, 2005 in Box Office
By Vince Palomarez | Images property of respective holders.
The Fog The Fog rides the horror-card through this week’s box office box office.
Hey folks! Due to the fact that I am miles away from home on business (with limited access to a computer), this week’s overview is going to be a little abbreviated. Everything should be business as usual next week, so without any further ado; here are the box office totals for the weekend of October 14-16:

October 17th Box Office Overview



The top 5:


1. The Fog $12.2 million (1st week of release)
2. Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit $11.7 million ($33.3 million total)
3. Elizabethtown $11 million (1st week of release)
4. Flightplan $6.5 million ($70.7 million total)
5. In Her Shoes $6.1 million ($20 million total)

Thoughts: Looking at this week's total's there is only one thought that comes to mind……where the hell is everyone? This is the middle of October, a time when studios are just starting to get the Oscar season and the holiday films going and the top film of the week can only muster a measly $12 million? If you really look at it closely, there are two reasons why The Fog was able to catch the top spot: 1) Horror films always do well this time of year and 2) The other new releases got trashed by critics so audiences went with the safe bet. Sony and Revolution Studios followed a very safe formula with The Fog (campy, predictable, plot or remake of an older film, low production budget and attractive television stars with a young following) and are reaping the profits because of it. If I were them though, I wouldn't expect this trend to continue. Films like these usually drop big time by the second week and The Fog should be no different. Next week sees a few films that might bring audiences out of hiding and, if they do, it will spell the end of The Fog's run.

With only a 27% drop from last week, Wallace and Gromit continue to prove that an animation film doesn't have to be all CGI in order to be a hit. The film has managed to pull in $33 million over two weeks as well as retain audiences with a strong word of mouth.
Elizabethtown Poster Elizabethtown tries to roll over early negative reviews.

Cameron Crowe wishes he had that strong word of mouth with his latest film Elizabethtown. Burdened with negative buzz before its release and then a slew of negative reviews from critics, Elizabethtown was behind the gun from the get go. For a $45 million dollar film an $11 million opening is a little of a disappointment for Paramount studios who were expecting at least Jerry Maguire opening numbers ($17 million) instead of Almost Famous numbers ($7 million). Still, the lack of romantic films should be able to keep Elizabethtown afloat in the top 10 for at least a few more weeks which should be more than enough time to get some positive word of mouth going…..if there is any.

Further evidence that audiences are not showing up to theaters is Flightplan's refusal to die. How else can you explain a film in its fourth week taking in only $6 million and still finishing in the top 5? This is no knock on the film and I have come to the realization that this film is a hit, but you have to agree with me when I say that if the other new releases hadn't been slammed by critics, Flightplan would not be in the top 5. Still, audiences love thrillers and apparently they also love Cameron Diaz because In Her Shoes had another solid week, dropping only 39% from last week. The $20 million total In Her Shoes has taken in should be enough to cover Cameron Diaz's salary, but it also shows that this film has found an audience which is surprising considering its lack of awareness.



Domino Poster Domino gets the rough end of the box office.

The bottom 5:


6. Domino $4.7 million (1st week of release)
7. Two for the Money $4.6 million ($16.5 million total)
8. A History of Violence $3.6 million ($22.3 million total)
9. Tim Burton's Corpse Bride $3.5 million ($47.6 million total)
10. The Gospel $3.2 million ($12 million total)

Thoughts: Other than Domino's performance, which really surprised me, the rest of the bottom 5 played out how I thought it would. While not taking the biggest drop of the week award like I had predicted, Two for the Money did get pretty hard to the tune of a 47% drop. I'm pretty sure no one was surprised by that and by now you've figured out that it's decent opening weekend was solely due to the star power that was attached to the picture. Once people got to see it and word of mouth spread enough this film was doomed. Same thing goes for The Gospel which enjoyed a surprisingly good opening weekend. Now that the first wave of word of mouth is out though, The Gospel is settling in to the spot it was originally predicted to be.

Maybe it was my plea for audiences to give this film more respect or maybe America smartened up and did the right thing, but A History of Violence had a good weekend despite staying in the bottom 5. History dropped only 29% from last week and looks to be the sleeper film of the month. It may not have enough word of mouth to make it a huge hit, but it looks to have just enough to have a solid run at the box office and hopefully be around long enough to warrant some Oscar attention.

I saved Domino for last because it really surprised me with how poorly it finished. The film had all the makings of a huge hit, big time director (Tony Scott, Ridley's brother and director of films like Top Gun and True Romance), up and coming actress (Keira Knightly) and an intriguing plot (a former model becomes a bounty hunter) yet it tanked at the box office. New Line had been promoting the hell out of this film for the past 6 months so why did it do so poorly? The only reasonable explanation is that it was originally slated to come out earlier in the year and then was pushed back. This has always been a big problem to me. I understand that sometimes certain issues (like production delays) force a film to push back its release date, but most of the time, no matter how much you improve the film, the moment you push the release date back people know to stay away from it like the plague. I'm not saying Domino is a great film, but the moment they pushed the date back New Line had pretty much left this film for dead. A perfect example of this would be Serenity. Here is a film that had good buzz due to the cult like following it had when the series was released on DVD, was praised by critics, yet the film had its release date pushed back and now no one is showing up. Studios would be better off just going through with releasing it on the original date and hoping for the best, rather than push it back and watch it bomb. Look for this to happen again in March when V for Vendetta is released.

Serenity DOOM is up to plate for next weekend.
Box office predictions for next weekend:

1. Doom $14 million
2. North Country $11 million
3. Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit $9 million
4. Elizabethtown $8 million
5. The Fog $6 million

I want to hear from you guys on what you think the totals are. Agree with me? Disagree? E-mail (vince@canmag.com) me your totals and I'll post the person who comes closest to the actual totals.

Stay tuned for updates.


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Vince Palomarez
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